| 来源类型 | Monograph (IIASA Interim Report) |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| Catastrophic Risk Evaluation. | |
| Ekenberg L; Boman M; Linnerooth-Bayer J | |
| 发表日期 | 1997 |
| 出版者 | IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-97-045 |
| 出版年 | 1997 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | A body of empirical evidence has shown that many managers would welcome new ways of highlighting catastrophic consequences, as well as means to evaluating decision situations involving high risks. When events occur frequently and their consequences are not severe, it is relatively simple to calculate the risk exposure of an organisation, as well as a reasonable premium when an insurance transaction is made. The usual methods rely on variations of the principle of maximising the expected utility (PMEU). When, on the other hand, the frequency of damages is low, the situation is considerably more difficult, especially if catastrophic events occur. When the quality of estimates is poor, e.g., when evaluating low-probability/high-consequence risks, the customary use of quantitative rules together with overprecise data could be harmful as well as misleading. |
| 主题 | Risk, Modeling, Policy (RMP) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/5249/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/124700 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ekenberg L,Boman M,Linnerooth-Bayer J. Catastrophic Risk Evaluation.. 1997. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| IR-97-045.pdf（113KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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