| 来源类型 | Monograph (IIASA Interim Report) |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| A Social Security Forecasting and Simulation Model. | |
| MacKellar FL; Ermolieva T; Westlund A | |
| 发表日期 | 2000 |
| 出版者 | IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-00-055 |
| 出版年 | 2000 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper presents and validates a multiregional neoclassical economic- demographic growth model developed by the IIASA Social Security Reform Project. This model is intended to study linkages between population age distribution, the macroeconomy, the nature of pension arrangements, the intergenerational distribution of income and wealth, and international capital flows. In this paper, we concentrate on the model in single-region form, showing that: (i) reasonable exogenous assumptions give rise to a reasonable long-run model solution; (ii) when exogenous assumptions or model parameters are changed, the model performs sensibly on a baseline-vs.-alternative basis; and (iii) model projection results are reasonably robust to selection of demographic scenario and exogenous assumptions regarding household saving and labor supply; they are sensitive, however, to the selection of the parameters of the core production function. |
| 主题 | Social Security Reform (SSR) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/6191/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/124969 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | MacKellar FL,Ermolieva T,Westlund A. A Social Security Forecasting and Simulation Model.. 2000. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| IR-00-055.pdf（398KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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