全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): IMAGE and MESSAGE Scenarios Limiting GHG Concentration to Low Levels.

G2TT

来源类型	Monograph (IIASA Interim Report)
规范类型	报告
	IMAGE and MESSAGE Scenarios Limiting GHG Concentration to Low Levels.
	Rao S; Riahi K; Stehfest E; van Vuuren DP; Cho C; Elzen MGJ den; Isaac M; van Vliet J
发表日期	2008
出版者	IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-08-020
出版年	2008
语种	英语
摘要	This report discusses the attainability of low greenhouse gas concentrations levels based on an analysis using two integrated assessment models (MESSAGE and IMAGE). Model runs were preformed which explored the feasibility of reaching radiative forcing levels in 2100 between 2.6 to 2.9 W/m2 above pre-industrial levels. Such low targets are necessary to limit global mean temperature increase to below 2oC compared to pre-industrial levels with high probability. The analysis examines the attainability of low targets systematically with respect to key uncertainties, including alternative baseline development pathways, availability of different technologies, emissions of bio-energy, and impacts of forestry and land use assumptions. A number of sensitivity tests were carried out to test the robustness of achieving low GHG concentration targets. The results from the two models are discussed in detail comprising energy profiles and emission pathways consistent with such low stabilization targets.
主题	Energy (ENE) ; Transitions to New Technologies (TNT) ; Greenhouse Gas Initiative (GGI)
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8763/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/125656
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Rao S,Riahi K,Stehfest E,et al. IMAGE and MESSAGE Scenarios Limiting GHG Concentration to Low Levels.. 2008.

条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小	资源类型	版本类型	开放类型	使用许可
IR-08-020.pdf（747KB）	智库出版物		限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览