| 来源类型 | Monograph (IIASA Interim Report) |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| Consistency between Long-term Climate Target and Short-term Abatement Policy. Attainability Analysis Technique. | |
| Pivovarchuk D | |
| 发表日期 | 2008 |
| 出版者 | IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-08-017 |
| 出版年 | 2008 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | A crucial problem in climate policy decision making is to design mitigation strategies consistent with specified long{term stabilization targets. However due to a deep uncertainty in our understanding of climatic system functioning, it is often impossible to elaborate abatement actions over a long period of time. Therefore the usual policy way is to design actions for a short{term time period only, taking into account current possibilities and information, but keeping the possibility to meet a given long-term target. In this paper we propose a methodological framework based on control theory to tackle the consistency issue comprehensively. Our approach consists of two stages. On the first stage we identify a [consistency] set of all possible short-term states that keep the possibility to meet a given long-term target and on the second stage we assess the 'cost' of achieving a long-term target for every short-term state in the consistency set. To illustrate the approach we run the calculations for the DICE-94 model of the economics of global warming. |
| 主题 | Atmospheric Pollution (APD) ; Dynamic Systems (DYN) ; Greenhouse Gas Initiative (GGI) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8765/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/125658 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Pivovarchuk D. Consistency between Long-term Climate Target and Short-term Abatement Policy. Attainability Analysis Technique.. 2008. |
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| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| IR-08-017.pdf（1152KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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