全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Forecasting Mortality Convergence Up to 2100.

G2TT

来源类型	Monograph (IIASA Interim Report)
规范类型	报告
	Forecasting Mortality Convergence Up to 2100.
	Garbero A; Sanderson WC
发表日期	2012
出版者	IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-12-013
出版年	2012
语种	英语
摘要	This paper presents life expectancy forecasts for all countries in the world explicitly assuming mortality convergence. We develop a model that takes into account country-specific heterogeneity in life expectancy historical trajectories, between-countries heterogeneity across gains and uncertainty through experts' based arguments (Lutz et al. 2001). The relevant literature has focused on forecasting mortality for a single population. Exception to this rule is the work by Li and Lee (2005) where the authors develop mortality forecasts that take into account patterns in a larger group using the Lee-Carter model.
主题	World Population (POP)
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10262/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/125902
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Garbero A,Sanderson WC. Forecasting Mortality Convergence Up to 2100.. 2012.