| 来源类型 | Monograph (IIASA Interim Report) |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| A dismal future? Towards a new model of labor market dynamics based on evolving demographic variables. | |
| Poblete Cazenave M; Sanderson WC | |
| 发表日期 | 2015 |
| 出版者 | IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-15-017 |
| 出版年 | 2015 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Standard labor market models assume that individuals work between ages 15-64 and then retire. Forecasted improvements in demographic variables such as life expectancy and health level of the population question the validity of those assumptions. Here we develop a model in which individuals decide optimally their retirement age according to changes in demographic and economic variables. Under this framework, individuals should naturally delay their retirement in the following decades. This implies a very different approach to policy, since the implied support ratios may not be as worrisome as the ones coming from the standard models. However, a word of caution is necessary, as the design of the pension system may give enough incentives for people to retire before what could be optimal on an equitable pension system. |
| 主题 | World Population (POP) ; Young Scientists Summer Program (YSSP) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11672/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/126017 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Poblete Cazenave M,Sanderson WC. A dismal future? Towards a new model of labor market dynamics based on evolving demographic variables.. 2015. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| IR-15-017.pdf（314KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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