G2TT
来源类型Monograph (IIASA Interim Report)
规范类型报告
A dismal future? Towards a new model of labor market dynamics based on evolving demographic variables.
Poblete Cazenave M; Sanderson WC
发表日期2015
出版者IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-15-017
出版年2015
语种英语
摘要Standard labor market models assume that individuals work between ages 15-64 and then retire. Forecasted improvements in demographic variables such as life expectancy and health level of the population question the validity of those assumptions. Here we develop a model in which individuals decide optimally their retirement age according to changes in demographic and economic variables. Under this framework, individuals should naturally delay their retirement in the following decades. This implies a very different approach to policy, since the implied support ratios may not be as worrisome as the ones coming from the standard models. However, a word of caution is necessary, as the design of the pension system may give enough incentives for people to retire before what could be optimal on an equitable pension system.
主题World Population (POP) ; Young Scientists Summer Program (YSSP)
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11672/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/126017
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Poblete Cazenave M,Sanderson WC. A dismal future? Towards a new model of labor market dynamics based on evolving demographic variables.. 2015.
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