| 来源类型 | Monograph (IIASA Interim Report) |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| Towards harmonizing competing models: Russian forests' net primary production case study. | |
| Kryazhimskiy A; Rovenskaya E; Veshchinskaya V; Gusti M; Shchepashchenko D; Shvidenko A | |
| 发表日期 | 2015 |
| 出版者 | IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: IR-15-003 |
| 出版年 | 2015 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper deals with the issue of reconciling competing stochastic estimates provided by independent sources. We employ an integration method based on a principle of mutual compatibility of prior estimates. The method does not take into account credibility of the sources of the estimates, including their past performance. The quality of integration is evaluated in terms of change in the probability distribution. We use the method to integrate two types of estimates of the annual Net Primary Production (NPP) of the forest ecosystems in seven bioclimatic zones in Russia. The estimates are generated based on an empirical landscape-ecosystem approach and on an ensemble of dynamic global vegetation models; the gaps in thei estimates reach 23%. Elimination of the gaps may help better quantify the input of the terrestrial ecosystems to the global carbon cyce. The main result of this paper is the evidence of applicability of the method for selection a set of candidates for credible integrated estimates of uncertain ecological parameters (like forest NPP) integrating prior estimates. |
| 主题 | Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA) ; Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) |
| 关键词 | net primary production of forest, multi-model ensembles, Bayesian approach |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11683/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/126028 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kryazhimskiy A,Rovenskaya E,Veshchinskaya V,et al. Towards harmonizing competing models: Russian forests' net primary production case study.. 2015. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| IR-15-003.pdf（319KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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