| 来源类型 | Monograph (IIASA Working Paper) |
| 规范类型 | 论文 |
| Evaluating Process-Based Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change Mitigation. | |
| Wilson C; Kriegler E; van Vuuren DP; Guivarch C; Frame D; Krey V; Osborn TJ; Schwanitz VJ | |
| 发表日期 | 2017 |
| 出版者 | IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-17-007 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Process-based integrated assessment models (IAMs) analyse transformation pathways to mitigate climate change. Confidence in models is established by testing their structural assumptions and comparing their behaviour against observations as well as other models. Climate model evaluation is concerted, and prominently reported in a dedicated chapter in the IPCC WG1 assessments. By comparison, evaluation of process-based IAMs tends to be less visible and more dispersed among modelling teams, with the exception of model inter-comparison projects. We contribute the first comprehensive analysis of process-based IAM evaluation, drawing on a wide range of examples across eight different evaluation methods testing both structural and behavioural validity. For each evaluation method, we compare its application to process-based IAMs with its application to climate models, noting similarities and differences, and seeking useful insights for strengthening the evaluation of process-based IAMs. We find that each evaluation method has distinctive strengths and limitations, as well as constraints on their application. We develop a systematic evaluation framework combining multiple methods that should be embedded within the development and use of process-based IAMs. |
| 主题 | Energy (ENE) ; Transitions to New Technologies (TNT) |
| 关键词 | integrated assessment models, evaluation |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14502/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/126065 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wilson C,Kriegler E,van Vuuren DP,et al. Evaluating Process-Based Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change Mitigation.. 2017. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| WP-17-007.pdf（357KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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