| 来源类型 | Book |
| 规范类型 | 图书 |
| Coping with Uncertainty. Modeling and Policy Issues. | |
| Marti K; Ermoliev Y; Makowski M; Pflug GC | |
| 发表日期 | 2006 |
| 出版者 | Springer-Verlag, Berlin, Germany |
| 出版年 | 2006 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Ongoing global changes bring fundamentally new scientific problems requiring new concepts and tools. A key issue concerns a vast variety of practically irreducible uncertainties, which challenge our traditional models and require new concepts and analytical tools. The uncertainty critically dominates, e.g., the climate change debates. In short, the dilemma is concerned with enormous costs vs. massive uncertainties of potential extreme impacts. Traditional scientific approaches usually rely on real observations and experiments. Yet no sufficient observations exist for new problems, and "pure" experiments and learning by doing may be very expensive, dangerous, or simply impossible. In addition, available historical observations are contaminated by actions, policies. The complexity of new problems does not allow to achieve enough certainty by increasing the resolution of models or by bringing in more links. Hence, new tools for modeling and management of uncertainty are needed, as given in this book which was prepared for an interdisciplinary audience, and addresses open problems, limitations of known approaches, novel methods and techniques, or lessons from the applications of various approaches. Thus, the book contributes to a better understanding between practitioners dealing with the management of uncertainty, and scientists working on either corresponding modeling approaches that can be applied for improving understanding or management of uncertainty. |
| 主题 | Integrated Modeling Environment (IME) |
| 关键词 | Non-probalistic uncertainty rubust optimal decision stochastic optimization |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/7970/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/126495 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Marti K,Ermoliev Y,Makowski M,et al. Coping with Uncertainty. Modeling and Policy Issues.. 2006. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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