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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1016/0040-1625(88)90014-5
Environmental prospects for the next century: Implications for long-term policy and research strategies.
Munn RE
发表日期1988
出处Technological Forecasting and Social Change 33 (3): 203-218
出版年1988
语种英语
摘要This report examines environmental prospects for the twenty-first century, and then suggests some appropriate long-term management strategies and research priorities. A few current global trends (e.g., increasing concentrations of atmospheric trace gases, population, agricultural production) are practically irreversible over the next couple of decades due to inertias in the systems involved. However, there are bound to be nonlinearities, discontinuities, and surprises in the behavior of many environmental and socioeconomic systems. In fact, the main challenge for managers, policy analysts, and politicians is to develop strategies that are robust in response to these surprises, exploiting the opportunities as well as softening the shocks that may arise.
主题Environment Program (ENV)
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/12579/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/127003
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GB/T 7714
Munn RE. Environmental prospects for the next century: Implications for long-term policy and research strategies.. 1988.
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