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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1016/0040-1625(88)90014-5 |
Environmental prospects for the next century: Implications for long-term policy and research strategies. | |
Munn RE | |
发表日期 | 1988 |
出处 | Technological Forecasting and Social Change 33 (3): 203-218 |
出版年 | 1988 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This report examines environmental prospects for the twenty-first century, and then suggests some appropriate long-term management strategies and research priorities. A few current global trends (e.g., increasing concentrations of atmospheric trace gases, population, agricultural production) are practically irreversible over the next couple of decades due to inertias in the systems involved. However, there are bound to be nonlinearities, discontinuities, and surprises in the behavior of many environmental and socioeconomic systems. In fact, the main challenge for managers, policy analysts, and politicians is to develop strategies that are robust in response to these surprises, exploiting the opportunities as well as softening the shocks that may arise. |
主题 | Environment Program (ENV) |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/12579/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/127003 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Munn RE. Environmental prospects for the next century: Implications for long-term policy and research strategies.. 1988. |
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