| 来源类型 | Article
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| 规范类型 | 其他
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| DOI | 10.1504/IJTM.1990.025914
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| Towards the fifth Kondratiev upswing: elements of an emerging new growth phase and possible development trajectories. |
| Grubler A; Nowotny H
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| 发表日期 | 1990
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| 出处 | International Journal of Technology Management 5 (4): 431-471
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| 出版年 | 1990
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| 语种 | 英语
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| 摘要 | This paper takes a long–term view on economic growth from an essentially Schumpeteriam perspective. The authors consider that since the early 1970s we have been witnessing a volatile and turbulent transition towards a new phase of socio–economic development, in which the diffusion of a host of interrelated new technologies, institutions and forms of organization could lead to a renewed period of economic growth and prosperity. They argue that the beginning of such a diffusion phase, in which the ultimate characteristics of the future development trajectory are being shaped, could constitute an opportunity window for reducing the disparities between countries as a result of their different degrees of economic development. They consider in addition that the successful catching–up will depend more on an effective introduction and diffusion of the elements of the emerging new development regime than on a growth model along the trajectories and intensity level of the previous model of development. |
| 主题 | Environmentally Compatible Energy Strategies (ECS)
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| 关键词 | economic growth, global development, Kondratiev upswing, Schumpeterian growth model, structural adjustments, technology diffusion, energy, transport, communications, developing countries, technology transfer
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| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/12925/
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| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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| 引用统计 |
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/127094
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Grubler A,Nowotny H. Towards the fifth Kondratiev upswing: elements of an emerging new growth phase and possible development trajectories.. 1990.
|
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