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The role of financial instruments in integrated catastrophic flood management.
Ermolieva T; Ermoliev Y; Fischer G; Galambos I
发表日期2003
出处Multinational Finance Journal 7 (3 & 4): 207-230.
出版年2003
语种英语
摘要The main goal of this paper is to develop a flood management model that takes into account the specifics of catastrophic risk management: highly mutually dependent losses, the lack of information, the need for long-term perspectives and explicit analyses of spatial and temporal heterogeneities of various agents such as individuals, governments, and insurers. We use modified data from a pilot region of the Upper Tisza river, Hungary, to illustrate the evaluation of a public multipillar flood loss-spreading program involving partial compensation to flood victims by the central government, the pooling of risks through a mandatory public catastrophe insurance on the basis of location-specific exposures, and the demand for a contingent ex-ante credit to reinsure the insurances liabilities. GIS-based catastrophe models and stochastic optimization methods are used to guide policy analysis with respect to location-specific risk exposures. We use economically sound risk indicators leading to convex stochastic optimization problems strongly connected with nonconvex insolvency constraint, VaR and CVaR.
主题Risk, Modeling and Society (RMS)
关键词flood risk, catastrophe modeling, insurance, stochastic optimization, insolvency, contingent credit, CvaR
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/6790/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/128183
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GB/T 7714
Ermolieva T,Ermoliev Y,Fischer G,et al. The role of financial instruments in integrated catastrophic flood management.. 2003.
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