全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): The end of population growth in Asia.

G2TT

来源类型	Article
规范类型	其他
DOI	10.1007/BF03031799
	The end of population growth in Asia.
	Lutz W; Scherbov S; Sanderson WC
发表日期	2003
出处	Journal of Population Research 20 (1): 125-141
出版年	2003
语种	英语
摘要	This paper presents probabilistic population projections for five regions of Asia (South Asia, Central Asia, China region, Pacific OECD and Pacific Asia) and Asia as a whole. Over this century, Asia will experience very heterogeneous demographic development: Central Asia is expected to almost double in population and South Asia will become by far the world's most populous region, rapidly surpassing the China region. Simultaneously, the Pacific OECD countries are likely to shrink in population size and experience extreme population ageing. The proportion of the population aged 60 and above in these countries (with Japan having the greatest weight) is expected to reach 50 per cent of the total population (with the 95 per cent uncertainty interval ranging from 35 to 61 per cent). The China region will experience a more rapid speed of ageing, with the proportion aged 60 and above expected to increase by a factor of four from 10 per cent in 2000 to 39 per cent in 2100.
主题	World Population (POP)
关键词	Population projections Probability Asia Fertility trends Mortality trends Ageing Population composition Population growth
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/6907/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/128293
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lutz W,Scherbov S,Sanderson WC. The end of population growth in Asia.. 2003.