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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1108/09653560410556564 |
A methodology for incorporating natural catastrophes into macroeconomic projections. | |
Freeman PK; Martin LA; Mechler R; Warner-Merl NK | |
发表日期 | 2004 |
出处 | Disaster Prevention and Management 13 (4): 337-342 |
出版年 | 2004 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper addresses a critical problem in macroeconomic planning for natural disaster losses: how to incorporate potential future losses into current planning activity. The authors develop a technique to integrate probabilistic natural hazard losses into macroeconomic planning models. Probabilistic losses to capital stock (direct losses) serve as input to a macroeconomic model, which consequently calculates the macroeconomic impacts. The macroeconomic effects calculated comprise the indirect effects of losing and not being able to replace capital stock sufficiently or in a timely manner, as well as the effects of diverting funds to relief and reconstruction activities. The modeling can serve as a tool for planning for the effects of natural disasters before they occur and for engaging in appropriate risk management activities. |
主题 | Risk, Modeling and Society (RMS) |
关键词 | Macroeconomics Stochastic Modelling Natural Disasters Risk Management |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/7121/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/128349 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Freeman PK,Martin LA,Mechler R,et al. A methodology for incorporating natural catastrophes into macroeconomic projections.. 2004. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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