| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1108/09653560410556564 |
| A methodology for incorporating natural catastrophes into macroeconomic projections. | |
| Freeman PK; Martin LA; Mechler R; Warner-Merl NK | |
| 发表日期 | 2004 |
| 出处 | Disaster Prevention and Management 13 (4): 337-342 |
| 出版年 | 2004 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper addresses a critical problem in macroeconomic planning for natural disaster losses: how to incorporate potential future losses into current planning activity. The authors develop a technique to integrate probabilistic natural hazard losses into macroeconomic planning models. Probabilistic losses to capital stock (direct losses) serve as input to a macroeconomic model, which consequently calculates the macroeconomic impacts. The macroeconomic effects calculated comprise the indirect effects of losing and not being able to replace capital stock sufficiently or in a timely manner, as well as the effects of diverting funds to relief and reconstruction activities. The modeling can serve as a tool for planning for the effects of natural disasters before they occur and for engaging in appropriate risk management activities. |
| 主题 | Risk, Modeling and Society (RMS) |
| 关键词 | Macroeconomics Stochastic Modelling Natural Disasters Risk Management |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/7121/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/128349 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Freeman PK,Martin LA,Mechler R,et al. A methodology for incorporating natural catastrophes into macroeconomic projections.. 2004. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
