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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1108/09653560410556564
A methodology for incorporating natural catastrophes into macroeconomic projections.
Freeman PK; Martin LA; Mechler R; Warner-Merl NK
发表日期2004
出处Disaster Prevention and Management 13 (4): 337-342
出版年2004
语种英语
摘要This paper addresses a critical problem in macroeconomic planning for natural disaster losses: how to incorporate potential future losses into current planning activity. The authors develop a technique to integrate probabilistic natural hazard losses into macroeconomic planning models. Probabilistic losses to capital stock (direct losses) serve as input to a macroeconomic model, which consequently calculates the macroeconomic impacts. The macroeconomic effects calculated comprise the indirect effects of losing and not being able to replace capital stock sufficiently or in a timely manner, as well as the effects of diverting funds to relief and reconstruction activities. The modeling can serve as a tool for planning for the effects of natural disasters before they occur and for engaging in appropriate risk management activities.
主题Risk, Modeling and Society (RMS)
关键词Macroeconomics Stochastic Modelling Natural Disasters Risk Management
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/7121/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/128349
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Freeman PK,Martin LA,Mechler R,et al. A methodology for incorporating natural catastrophes into macroeconomic projections.. 2004.
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