G2TT
来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1016/S0301-4215(03)00159-9
Experiments with a methodology to model the role of R&D expenditures in energy technology learning processes: First results.
Miketa A; Schrattenholzer L
发表日期2004
出处Energy Policy 32 (15): 1679-1692
出版年2004
语种英语
摘要This paper presents the results of using a stylized optimization model of the global electricity supply system to analyze the optimal research and development (R&D) support for an energy technology. The model takes into account the dynamics of technological progress as described by a so-called two-factor learning curve (2FLC). The two factors are cumulative experience ("learning by doing") and accumulated knowledge ("learning by searching"); the formulation is a straightforward expansion of conventional one-factor learning curves, in which only cumulative experience is included as a factor, which aggregates the effects of accumulated knowledge and cumulative experience, among others. The responsiveness of technological progress to the two factors is quantified using learning parameters, which are estimated using empirical data. Sensitivities of the model results to the parameters are also tested. The model results also address the effect of competition between technologies and of CO2 constraints. The results are mainly methodological; one of the most interesting is that, at least up to a point, competition between technologies in terms of both market share and R&D support - need not lead to "lock-in" or "crowding-out".
主题Environmentally Compatible Energy Strategies (ECS)
关键词Induced technological change technological learning
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/7167/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/128389
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GB/T 7714
Miketa A,Schrattenholzer L. Experiments with a methodology to model the role of R&D expenditures in energy technology learning processes: First results.. 2004.
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