| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2003.10.008 |
| Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios. | |
| Parry ML; Rosenzweig C; Iglesias A; Livermore M; Fischer G | |
| 发表日期 | 2004 |
| 出处 | Global Environmental Change 14 (1): 53-67 |
| 出版年 | 2004 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper analyses the global consequences to crop yields, production, and risk of hunger of linked socio-economic and climate scenarios. Potential impacts of climate change are estimated for climate change scenarios developed from the HadCM3 global climate model under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A1FI, A2, B1, and B2. Projected changes in yield are calculated using transfer functions derived from crop model simulations with observed climate data and projected climate change scenarios. The basic linked system (BLS) is used to evaluate consequent changes in global cereal production, cereal prices and the number of people at risk from hunger. |
| 主题 | Modeling Land-Use and Land-Cover Changes (LUC) |
| 关键词 | Climate change SRES emissions scenarios global food security cereal yields risk of hunger |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/7185/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/128404 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Parry ML,Rosenzweig C,Iglesias A,et al. Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios.. 2004. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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