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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1073/pnas.0701890104
Adapting agriculture to climate change.
Howden SM; Soussana J-F; Tubiello FN; Chhetri NB; Dunlop M; Meinke H
发表日期2007
出处Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 104 (50): 19691-19696
出版年2007
语种英语
摘要The strong trends in climate change already evident, the likelihood of further changes occurring, and the increasing scale of potential climate impacts give urgency to addressing agricultural adaptation more coherently. There are many potential adaptation options available for marginal change of existing agricultural systems, often variations of existing climate risk management. We show that implementation of these options is likely to have substantial benefits under moderate climate change for some cropping systems. However, there are limits to their effectiveness under more severe climate changes. Hence, more systemic changes in resource allocation need to be considered, such as targeted diversification of production systems and livelihoods. We argue that achieving increased adaptation action will necessitate integration of climate change-related issues with other risk factors, such as climate variability and market risk, and with other policy domains, such as sustainable development. Dealing with the many barriers to effective adaptation will require a comprehensive and dynamic policy approach covering a range of scales and issues, for example, from the understanding by farmers of change in risk profiles to the establishment of efficient markets that facilitate response strategies. Science, too, has to adapt. Multidisciplinary problems require multidisciplinary solutions, i.e., a focus on integrated rather than disciplinary science and a strengthening of the interface with decision makers. A crucial component of this approach is the implementation of adaptation assessment frameworks that are relevant, robust, and easily operated by all stakeholders, practitioners, policymakers, and scientists.
主题Modeling Land-Use and Land-Cover Changes (LUC)
关键词adaptation greenhouse cropping grazing forestry
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8134/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/128607
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GB/T 7714
Howden SM,Soussana J-F,Tubiello FN,et al. Adapting agriculture to climate change.. 2007.
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