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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1073/pnas.0701976104
Global food security under climate change.
Schmidhuber J; Tubiello FN
发表日期2007
出处Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 104 (500): 19703-19708
出版年2007
语种英语
摘要This article reviews the potential impacts of climate change on food security. It is found that of the four main elements of food security, i.e., availability, stability, utilization, and access, only the first is routinely addressed in simulation studies. To this end, published results indicate that the impacts of climate change are significant, however, with a wide projected range (between 5 million and 170 million additional people at risk of hunger by 2080) strongly depending on assumed socio-economic development. The likely impacts of climate change on the other important dimensions of food security are discussed qualitatively, indicating the potential for further negative impacts beyond those currently assessed with models. Finally, strengths and weaknesses of current assessment studies are discussed, suggesting improvements and proposing avenues for new analyses.
主题Modeling Land-Use and Land-Cover Changes (LUC)
关键词hunger vulnerability food supply agriculture
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8135/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/128616
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Schmidhuber J,Tubiello FN. Global food security under climate change.. 2007.
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