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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1073/pnas.0701976104 |
Global food security under climate change. | |
Schmidhuber J; Tubiello FN | |
发表日期 | 2007 |
出处 | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 104 (500): 19703-19708 |
出版年 | 2007 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This article reviews the potential impacts of climate change on food security. It is found that of the four main elements of food security, i.e., availability, stability, utilization, and access, only the first is routinely addressed in simulation studies. To this end, published results indicate that the impacts of climate change are significant, however, with a wide projected range (between 5 million and 170 million additional people at risk of hunger by 2080) strongly depending on assumed socio-economic development. The likely impacts of climate change on the other important dimensions of food security are discussed qualitatively, indicating the potential for further negative impacts beyond those currently assessed with models. Finally, strengths and weaknesses of current assessment studies are discussed, suggesting improvements and proposing avenues for new analyses. |
主题 | Modeling Land-Use and Land-Cover Changes (LUC) |
关键词 | hunger vulnerability food supply agriculture |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8135/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/128616 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Schmidhuber J,Tubiello FN. Global food security under climate change.. 2007. |
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Global%20food%20secu(259KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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