| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.10.002 |
| Assessing model-based and conflict-based uncertainty. | |
| Patt A | |
| 发表日期 | 2007 |
| 出处 | Global Environmental Change 17 (1): 37-46 |
| 出版年 | 2007 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Assessment panels need to communicate scientific uncertainty, and often face choices about how to simplify or synthesize it. One important distinction is between uncertainty that has been modeled, and that which derives from disagreement among experts. From an economic decision-making perspective the two are in many ways logically equivalent, yet from psychological and social perspectives they are quite different. An experiment on the communication of climate change uncertainty suggests that the two framings of uncertainty differentially influence people's estimates of likelihood and their motivation to take responsive action. It is recommended that assessment panels pay close attention to the social features of uncertainty, such as conflict between experts. |
| 主题 | Risk and Vulnerability (RAV) |
| 关键词 | Climate change Uncertainty Assessment Science communication |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8114/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/128640 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Patt A. Assessing model-based and conflict-based uncertainty.. 2007. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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