| 来源类型 | Article
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| 规范类型 | 其他
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| DOI | 10.1007/s11267-006-9116-4
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| Spatial GHG inventory: Analysis of uncertainty sources. A case study for Ukraine. |
| Bun R; Gusti M; Kujii L; Tokar O; Tsybrivskyy Y; Bun A
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| 发表日期 | 2007
|
| 出处 | Water, Air, & Soil Pollution: Focus
|
| 出版年 | 2007
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| 语种 | 英语
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| 摘要 | A geoinformation technology for creating spatially distributed greenhouse gas inventories based on a methodology provided by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and special software linking input data, inventory models, and a means for visualization are proposed. This technology opens up new possibilities for qualitative and quantitative spatially distributed presentations of inventory uncertainty at the regional level. Problems concerning uncertainty and verification of the distributed inventory are discussed. A Monte Carlo analysis of uncertainties in the energy sector at the regional level is performed, and a number of simulations concerning the effectiveness of uncertainty reduction in some regions are carried out. Uncertainties in activity data have a considerable influence on overall inventory uncertainty, for example, the inventory uncertainty in the energy sector declines from 3.2 to 2.0% when the uncertainty of energy-related statistical data on fuels combusted in the energy industries declines from 10 to 5%. Within the energy sector, the 'energy industries' subsector has the greatest impact on inventory uncertainty. The relative uncertainty in the energy sector inventory can be reduced from 2.19 to 1.47% if the uncertainty of specific statistical data on fuel consumption decreases from 10 to 5%. The 'energy industries' subsector has the greatest influence in the Donetsk oblast. Reducing the uncertainty of statistical data on electricity generation in just three regions - the Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk, and Luhansk oblasts - from 7.5 to 4.0% results in a decline from 2.6 to 1.6% in the uncertainty in the national energy sector inventory. |
| 主题 | Forestry (FOR)
|
| 关键词 | energy sector
geoinformation system
greenhouse gas
greenhouse gas inventory
multilevel model
spatial analysis
uncertainty
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| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8213/
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| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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| 引用统计 |
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/128725
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Bun R,Gusti M,Kujii L,et al. Spatial GHG inventory: Analysis of uncertainty sources. A case study for Ukraine.. 2007.
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