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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2008.04.005 |
Compromises in energy policy - Using fuzzy optimization in an energy systems model. | |
Martinsen D; Krey V | |
发表日期 | 2008 |
出处 | Energy Policy 36 (8): 2983-2994 |
出版年 | 2008 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Over the last year in Germany a great many political discussions have centered around the future direction of energy and climate policy. Due to a number of events related to energy prices, security of supply and climate change, it has been necessary to develop cornerstones for a new integrated energy and climate policy. To supplement this decision process, model-based scenarios were used. In this paper we introduce fuzzy constraints to obtain a better representation of political decision processes, in particular, to find compromises between often contradictory targets (e.g. economic, environmentally friendly and secure energy supply). A number of policy aims derived from a review of the ongoing political discussions were formulated as fuzzy constraints to explicitly include trade-offs between various targets. The result is an overall satisfaction level of about 60% contingent upon the following restrictions: share of energy imports, share of biofuels, share of CHP electricity, CO2 reduction target and use of domestic hard coal. The restrictions for the share of renewable electricity, share of renewable heat, energy efficiency and postponement of nuclear phase out have higher membership function values, i.e. they are not binding and therefore get done on the side. |
主题 | Energy (ENE) |
关键词 | Energy model Fuzzy optimization Energy policy compromise |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8602/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/128877 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Martinsen D,Krey V. Compromises in energy policy - Using fuzzy optimization in an energy systems model.. 2008. |
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