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来源类型Article
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DOI10.4054/DemRes.2010.22.15
Projection of populations by level of educational attainment, age, and sex for 120 countries for 2005-2050.
KC S; Barakat B; Goujon A; Skirbekk V; Sanderson WC; Lutz W
发表日期2010
出处Demographic Research 22 (15): 383-472
出版年2010
语种英语
摘要Using demographic multi-state, cohort-component methods, we produce projections for 120 countries (covering 93% of the world population in 2005) by five-year age groups, sex, and four levels of educational attainment for the years 2005-2050. Taking into account differentials in fertility and mortality by education level, we present the first systematic global educational attainment projections according to four widely differing education scenarios. The results show the possible range of future educational attainment trends around the world, thereby contributing to long-term economic and social planning at the national and international levels, and to the assessment of the feasibility of international education goals.
主题World Population (POP)
关键词differential fertility, differential of mortality, education, education goals, education policies, education scenarios, educational attainment, human capital, multi-state methods, projections
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/9251/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129035
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KC S,Barakat B,Goujon A,et al. Projection of populations by level of educational attainment, age, and sex for 120 countries for 2005-2050.. 2010.
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