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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.4054/DemRes.2010.22.15 |
Projection of populations by level of educational attainment, age, and sex for 120 countries for 2005-2050. | |
KC S; Barakat B; Goujon A; Skirbekk V; Sanderson WC; Lutz W | |
发表日期 | 2010 |
出处 | Demographic Research 22 (15): 383-472 |
出版年 | 2010 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Using demographic multi-state, cohort-component methods, we produce projections for 120 countries (covering 93% of the world population in 2005) by five-year age groups, sex, and four levels of educational attainment for the years 2005-2050. Taking into account differentials in fertility and mortality by education level, we present the first systematic global educational attainment projections according to four widely differing education scenarios. The results show the possible range of future educational attainment trends around the world, thereby contributing to long-term economic and social planning at the national and international levels, and to the assessment of the feasibility of international education goals. |
主题 | World Population (POP) |
关键词 | differential fertility, differential of mortality, education, education goals, education policies, education scenarios, educational attainment, human capital, multi-state methods, projections |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/9251/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129035 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | KC S,Barakat B,Goujon A,et al. Projection of populations by level of educational attainment, age, and sex for 120 countries for 2005-2050.. 2010. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
22-15.pdf(2134KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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