| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1073/pnas.1004581107 |
| Global demographic trends and future carbon emissions. | |
| O'Neill BC; Dalton M; Fuchs R; Jiang L; Pachauri S; Zigova K | |
| 发表日期 | 2010 |
| 出处 | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107 (41): 17521-17526 |
| 出版年 | 2010 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Substantial changes in population size, age structure, and urbanization are expected in many parts of the world this century. Although such changes can affect energy use and greenhouse gas emissions, emissions scenario analyses have either left them out or treated them in a fragmentary or overly simplified manner. We carry out a comprehensive assessment of the implications of demographic change for global emissions of carbon dioxide. Using an energy-economic growth model that accounts for a range of demographic dynamics, we show that slowing population growth could provide 16-29% of the emissions reductions suggested to be necessary by 2050 to avoid dangerous climate change. We also find that aging and urbanization can substantially influence emissions in particular world regions. |
| 主题 | Energy (ENE) ; Population and Climate Change (PCC) ; World Population (POP) |
| 关键词 | climate change energy integrated assessment population households |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/9192/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129048 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | O'Neill BC,Dalton M,Fuchs R,et al. Global demographic trends and future carbon emissions.. 2010. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| Global%20demographic（566KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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