全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Secularism, fundamentalism, or Catholicism? The religious composition of the United States to 2043.

G2TT

来源类型	Article
规范类型	其他
DOI	10.1111/j.1468-5906.2010.01510.x
	Secularism, fundamentalism, or Catholicism? The religious composition of the United States to 2043.
	Skirbekk V; Kaufmann E; Goujon A
发表日期	2010
出处	Journal for the Scientific Study of Religion 49 (2): 293-310
出版年	2010
语种	英语
摘要	We provide a cohort-component projection of the religious composition of the United States, considering differences in fertility, migration, intergenerational religious transmission, and switching among 11 ethnoreligious groups. If fertility and migration trends continue, Hispanic Catholics will experience rapid growth and expand from 10 to 18 percent of the American population between 2003 and 2043. Protestants are projected to decrease from 47 to 39 percent over the same period, while Catholicism emerges as the largest religion among the youngest age cohorts. Liberal Protestants decline relative to other groups due to low fertility and losses from religious switching. Immigration drives growth among Hindus and Muslims, while low fertility and a mature age structure causes Jewish decline. The low fertility of secular Americans and the religiosity of immigrants provide a countervailing force to secularization, causing the nonreligious population share to peak before 2043.
主题	World Population (POP)
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/9226/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129116
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Skirbekk V,Kaufmann E,Goujon A. Secularism, fundamentalism, or Catholicism? The religious composition of the United States to 2043.. 2010.