| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.trd.2010.03.006 |
| Multi-agent simulation of adoption of alternative fuels. | |
| van Vliet O; Vries B de; Faaij A; Turkenburg W; Jager W | |
| 发表日期 | 2010 |
| 出处 | Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 15 (6): 326-342 |
| 出版年 | 2010 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We have formalized and parameterized a model for the production of six transport fuels and six fuels blends from six feedstocks through 13 different production chains, and their adoption of by 11 distinct subpopulations of motorists. The motorists are represented by agents that use heuristics to choose a fuel on the basis of three attributes and a socal feedback loop. Adoption of specific fuels is mostly driven by price differences, but other factors play a role if prices are similar. The results are not always intuitive and do not always show up immediately. We find that sustained combinations of interventions are required to bring about a transition away from petrol or diesel. Adoption of alternative fuels was most often confined to niche markets with a share of 5% or lower. Only in a single case was a complete fuel transition observed. |
| 主题 | Energy (ENE) |
| 关键词 | Agent-based modelling Automotive fuels Biofuels Energy transition Innovation diffusion |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/9256/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129141 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | van Vliet O,Vries B de,Faaij A,et al. Multi-agent simulation of adoption of alternative fuels.. 2010. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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