| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01401.x |
| Probabilistic risk analysis and terrorism risk. | |
| Ezell BC; Bennett SP; von Winterfeldt D; Sokolowski J; Collins AJ | |
| 发表日期 | 2010 |
| 出处 | Risk Analysis 30 (4): 575-589 |
| 出版年 | 2010 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Since the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, and the subsequent establishment of the U.S. Deparment of Homeland Security (DHS), considerable efforts have been made to estimate the risks of terrorism and the cost efectiveness of security policies to reduce these risks. DHS, industry, and the academic risk analysis communities have all invested heavily in the development of tools and approaches that can assist decisionmakers in effectively allocating limited resources across the vast array of potential investments that could mitigate risks from terrorism and other threats to the homeland. Decisionmakers demand models, analyses, and decision support that are useful for this task and based on the state of the art. Since terrorism risk analysis is new, no single method is likely to meet this challenge. In this article we explore a number of existing and potential approaches for terrorism risk analysis, focusing particularly on recent discussions regarding the applicability of probabilistic and decision analytic approaches to bioterrorism risks and the Bioterrorism Risk Assessment methodology used by the DHS and criticized by the National Academies and others. |
| 主题 | Directorate (DIR) |
| 关键词 | Adaptive adversary Decision tree Event tree Terrorism risk |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/9263/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129148 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ezell BC,Bennett SP,von Winterfeldt D,et al. Probabilistic risk analysis and terrorism risk.. 2010. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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