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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1038/nature08823 |
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. | |
Moss RH; Edmonds J; Hibbard KA; Manning MR; Rose SK; van Vuuren DP; Carter TR; Emori S | |
发表日期 | 2010 |
出处 | Nature 463 (7282): 747-756 |
出版年 | 2010 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Advances in the science and observation of climate change are providing a clearer understanding of the inherent variability of Earth's climate system and its likely response to human and natural influences. The implications of climate change for the environment and society will depend not only on the response of the Earth system to changes in radiative forcings, but also on how humankind responds through changes in technology, economies, lifestyle and policy. Extensive uncertainties exist in future forcings of and responses to climate change, necessitating the use of scenarios of the future to explore the potential consequences of different response options. To date, such scenarios have not adequately examined crucial possibilities, such as climate change mitigation and adaptation, and have relied on research processes that slowed the exchange of information among physical, biological and social scientists. Here we describe a new process for creating plausible scenarios to investigate some of the most challenging and important questions about climate change confronting the global community. |
主题 | Energy (ENE) ; Transitions to New Technologies (TNT) |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/9286/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129167 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Moss RH,Edmonds J,Hibbard KA,et al. The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment.. 2010. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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