| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| On energy systems historically and in the next centuries. | |
| Marchetti C | |
| 发表日期 | 2011 |
| 出处 | Human Evolution 26 (3): 181-194. |
| 出版年 | 2011 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The historical dynamics of primary energy sources and the way energy is used are analyzed quantitatively with logistic models that permit forecasting. Very clear and stable patterns appear that may help planning the system on the long term. The future is seen as moving to natural gas and nuclear as primary energy sources and hydrogen plus electricity as the energy vectors vehiculating energy to the final consumers. This evolutionary process may take 100 years for its full materialization. |
| 主题 | Exploratory and Special projects (ESP) |
| 关键词 | Energy sources Energy system Historical dynamics |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/9597/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129309 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Marchetti C. On energy systems historically and in the next centuries.. 2011. |
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