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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
Scenario analysis for the trends of paper consumption in China: Urbanization effect in the medium term. | |
Cao G-Y; Zheng X; Horabik J; Nilsson S; Xu J; Wang H; Wang H | |
发表日期 | 2011 |
出处 | Population and Development 17 (2): 1-13. |
出版年 | 2011 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper analyzes the impact of urban growth on future paper consumption based on the medium term demographic-economic scenarios. The method of "regression with autocorrelated errors" is used to examine the implications of alternative development paths of urban growth on paper consumption. The simulation results confirm a hypothesis that the urbanization process in China strongly affects paper consumption. Since more rapid urbanization is possible, it would have correspondingly larger effects. Comparing demographic variables with economic variables, the effect of urban household economic factors is relatively more pronounced. According to the simulation results, we expect that pressure for environmental aggravation will increase in association with the paper consumption growth in the medium term future. |
主题 | Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) ; Forestry (FOR) |
关键词 | Paper Consumption Urbanization |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/9598/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129310 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Cao G-Y,Zheng X,Horabik J,et al. Scenario analysis for the trends of paper consumption in China: Urbanization effect in the medium term.. 2011. |
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