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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1371/journal.pone.0041128 |
Making robust policy decisions using global biodiversity indicators. | |
Nicholson E; Collen B; Barausse A; Blanchard JL; Costelloe BT; Sullivan KME; Underwood FM; Burn RW | |
发表日期 | 2012 |
出处 | PLoS ONE 7 (7): e41128 |
出版年 | 2012 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | In order to influence global policy effectively, conservation scientists need to be able to provide robust predictions of the impact of alternative policies on biodiversity and measure progress towards goals using reliable indicators. We present a framework for using biodiversity indicators predictively to inform policy choices at a global level. The approach is illustrated with two case studies in which we project forwards the impacts of feasible policies on trends in biodiversity and in relevant indicators. The policies are based on targets agreed at the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) meeting in Nagoya in October 2010. The first case study compares protected area policies for African mammals, assessed using the Red List Index; the second example uses the Living Planet Index to assess the impact of a complete halt, versus a reduction, in bottom trawling. In the protected areas example, we find that the indicator can aid in decision-making because it is able to differentiate between the impacts of the different policies. In the bottom trawling example, the indicator exhibits some counter-intuitive behaviour, due to over-representation of some taxonomic and functional groups in the indicator, and contrasting impacts of the policies on different groups caused by trophic interactions. Our results support the need for further research on how to use predictive models and indicators to credibly track trends and inform policy. To be useful and relevant, scientists must make testable predictions about the impact of global policy on biodiversity to ensure that targets such as those set at Nagoya catalyse effective and measurable change. |
主题 | Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/9929/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129397 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Nicholson E,Collen B,Barausse A,et al. Making robust policy decisions using global biodiversity indicators.. 2012. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
Making%20robust%20po(276KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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