| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11111-011-0134-4 |
| Implications of population growth and urbanization on agricultural risks in China. | |
| Fischer G; Winiwarter W; Cao G-Y; Ermolieva T; Hizsnyik E; Klimont Z; Wiberg D; Zheng XY | |
| 发表日期 | 2012 |
| 出处 | Population and Environment 33 (2): 243-258 |
| 出版年 | 2012 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Growing population, rapid urbanization, rising incomes, and changing consumption preferences stimulate intensification of livestock production and excessive fertilization of crops in China. We present an innovative approach that sheds light on options to prevent negative environmental consequences of food production. Trends indicate that agricultural production expansion will take place in "profitable" locations around densely populated areas, where there are generally insufficient natural resources to recycle production wastes. This will likely lead to increased environmental impacts and risks to human health, with the largest impacts in close proximity to population hotspots. We identify trends in Chinese agricultural production and devise and compare feasible mitigation scenarios. We present a spatial allocation procedure that facilitates management of agricultural production expansion, accounting for environmental and health constraints. This procedure, based on behavioral principles, uses a spatial risk preference structure induced by local conditions, including environment, production, and demand, with important research and policy implications. |
| 主题 | Air Quality & ; Greenhouse Gases (AIR) ; Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) ; Water (WAT) ; Mitigation of Air Pollution (MAG) |
| 关键词 | Agriculture China Demography Environment Health Intensification Pollution Population growth Spatial planning of production expansion Urbanization |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10003/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129419 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Fischer G,Winiwarter W,Cao G-Y,et al. Implications of population growth and urbanization on agricultural risks in China.. 2012. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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