全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Urban growth in China: Past, prospect, and its impacts.

G2TT

来源类型	Article
规范类型	其他
DOI	10.1007/s11111-011-0140-6
	Urban growth in China: Past, prospect, and its impacts.
	Cao G-Y; Chen G; Pang L-H; Zheng X-Y; Nilsson S
发表日期	2012
出处	Population and Environment 33 (2): 137-160
出版年	2012
语种	英语
摘要	Rapid growth and globalization of the domestic economy have dramatically accelerated urbanization in China, resulting in significant environmental impacts and challenges for sustainable development. Using a multistate model accounting for distributional aspects of age, sex, education, and migration in rural and urban regions, we estimate the magnitude of urbanization in China through 2030 and examine some major associated sustainability issues. Results indicate that: (1) for a range of assumptions, China's urban population will nearly double from 2000 to 2030; (2) the labor force will constitute a larger share of total population in urban areas than rural due to internal migration of younger workers - this appears particularly true for the mega-urban metropolises of Beijing and Shanghai; (3) rural populations will experience more aging than urban; and (4) level of education among China's rural labor force will remain low, which could pressure China's industrial structural transition from an agricultural to a service-based economy.
主题	Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM)
关键词	Urbanization Population dynamics Sustainability China Multistate demographic models Internal migration
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10010/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129426
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Cao G-Y,Chen G,Pang L-H,et al. Urban growth in China: Past, prospect, and its impacts.. 2012.