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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1016/j.egypro.2013.08.022
Is there a 1970s syndrome? Analyzing structural breaks in the metabolism of industrial economies.
Wiedenhofer D; Rovenskaya E; Haas W; Krausmann F; Pallua I; Fischer-Kowalski M
发表日期2013
出处Energy Procedia : 182-191
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要In this paper we focus on long-term socio-ecological transitions from the agrarian to the industrial metabolic regime. Statistical analysis is used to identify structural breaks in the development of energy use in the second half of the 20th century. A stabilization of per capita energy and resource use in most high-income countries was reached in the early 1970s, after a period of accelerated growth of resource use since the end of World War II. Most empirical turns in trend coincide with the oil price crises of 1973 and 1979. This stabilization could offer lessons for a future sustainability transition.
主题Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA)
关键词Long-term socio-ecological research Socio-metabolic transition Material flows analysis Autoregressive moving average statistical testing Chow tests
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10286/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129580
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Wiedenhofer D,Rovenskaya E,Haas W,et al. Is there a 1970s syndrome? Analyzing structural breaks in the metabolism of industrial economies.. 2013.
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