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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2013-34 |
US food security and climate change: Agricultural futures. | |
Takle ES; Gustafson D; Beachy R; Nelson GC; Mason-D'Croz D | |
发表日期 | 2013 |
出处 | Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal : 2013-34 |
出版年 | 2013 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Agreement is developing among agricultural scientists on the emerging inability of agriculture to meet growing global food demands. Changes in trends of weather conditions projected by global climate models will challenge physiological limits of crops and exacerbate the global food challenge by 2050. These climate- and constraint-driven crop production challenges are interconnected within a complex global economy, where diverse factors add to price volatility and food scarcity. Our scenarios of the impact of climate change on food security through 2050 for internationally traded crops show that climate change does not threaten near-term US food security due to the availability of adaptation strategies. However, as climate continues to change beyond 2050 current adaptation measures will not be sufficient to meet growing food demand. Climate scenarios for higher-level carbon emissions exacerbate the food shortfall, although uncertainty in projections of future precipitation is a limitation to impact studies. |
主题 | Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10350/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129598 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Takle ES,Gustafson D,Beachy R,et al. US food security and climate change: Agricultural futures.. 2013. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
Economics_2013-34.pd(5070KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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