| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/035010 |
| Water constraints on European power supply under climate change: Impacts on electricity prices. | |
| van Vliet MTH; Voegele S; Ruebbelke D | |
| 发表日期 | 2013 |
| 出处 | Environmental Research Letters 8 (3): no.035010 |
| 出版年 | 2013 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Recent warm, dry summers showed the vulnerability of the European power sector to low water availability and high river temperatures. Climate change is likely to impact electricity supply, in terms of both water availabilty for hydropower generation and cooling water usage for thermoelectric power production. Here, we show the impacts of climate change and changes in water availability and water temperature on European electricity production and prices. Using simulations of daily river flows and water temperatures under future climate (2031-2060) in power production models, we show declines in both thermoelectric and hydropower generating potential for most parts of Europe, except for the most northern countries. Based on changes in power production potentials, we assess the cost-optimal use of power plants for each European country by taking electricity import and export constraints into account. Higher wholesale prices are projected on a mean annual basis for most European countries (except for Sweden and Norway), with strongest increases for Slovenia (12-15%), Bulgaria (21-23%) and Romania (31-32% for 2031-2060), where limitations in water availability mainly affect power plants with low production costs. Considering the long design life of power plant infrastructures, short-term adaptation strategies are highly recommended to prevent undesired distributional and allocative effects. |
| 主题 | Water (WAT) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10421/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129635 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | van Vliet MTH,Voegele S,Ruebbelke D. Water constraints on European power supply under climate change: Impacts on electricity prices.. 2013. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| Water%20constraints%（1996KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
