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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1142/S2010007813400113 |
Energy security of China, India, the E.U. and the U.S. under long-term scenarios: Results from six IAMs. Special Issue on Implementing Climate Policies in the Major Economies: An Assessment of Durban Platform Architectures — Results from the LIMITS Project. | |
Jewell J; Cherp A; Vinichenko V; Bauer N; Kober T; McCollum DL; van Vuuren DP; van der Zwaan B | |
发表日期 | 2013 |
出处 | Climate Change Economics 4 (4): p. 1340011 |
出版年 | 2013 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper assesses energy security in three long-term energy scenarios (business as usual development, a projection of Copenhagen commitments, and a 450 ppm stabilization scenario) as modeled in six integrated assessment models: GCAM, IMAGE, MESSAGE, ReMIND, TIAM-ECN and WITCH. We systematically evaluate long-term vulnerabilities of vital energy systems of four major economies: China, the European Union (E.U.), India and the U.S., as expressed by several characteristics of energy trade, resource extraction, and diversity of energy options. Our results show that climate policies are likely to lead to significantly lower global energy trade and reduce energy imports of major economies, decrease the rate of resource depletion, and increase the diversity of energy options. China, India and the E.U. would derive particularly strong benefits from climate policies, whereas the U.S. may forego some opportunities to export fossil fuels in the second half of the century. |
主题 | Energy (ENE) |
关键词 | Energy security Climate change Major economies Energy scenarios |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10283/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129646 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jewell J,Cherp A,Vinichenko V,等. Energy security of China, India, the E.U. and the U.S. under long-term scenarios: Results from six IAMs. Special Issue on Implementing Climate Policies in the Major Economies: An Assessment of Durban Platform Architectures — Results from the LIMITS Project.. 2013. |
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