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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01928.x |
Catastrophe risk models for evaluating disaster risk reduction investments in developing countries. | |
Michel-Kerjan E; Hochrainer-Stigler S; Kunreuther H; Linnerooth-Bayer J; Mechler R; Muir-Wood R; Ranger N; Vaziri P | |
发表日期 | 2013 |
出处 | Risk Analysis 33 (6): 984-999 |
出版年 | 2013 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Major natural disasters in recent years have had high human and economic costs, and triggered record high post-disaster relief from governments and international donors. Given the current economic situation worldwide, selecting the most effective disaster risk reduction (DRR) measures is critical. This is especially the case for low- and middle-income countries, which have suffered disproportionally more economic and human losses from disasters. This article discusses a methodology that makes use of advanced probabilistic catastrophe models to estimate benefits of DRR measures. We apply such newly developed models to generate estimates for hurricane risk on residential structures on the island of St. Lucia, and earthquake risk on residential structures in Istanbul, Turkey, as two illustrative case studies. The costs and economic benefits for selected risk reduction measures are estimated taking account of hazard, exposure, and vulnerability. We conclude by emphasizing the advantages and challenges of catastrophe model-based cot-benefit analyses for DRR in developing countries. |
主题 | Risk, Policy and Vulnerability (RPV) ; Risk & ; Resilience (RISK) |
关键词 | Catastrophe modeling Cost-benefit analysis Disaster risk reduction |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10413/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129740 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Michel-Kerjan E,Hochrainer-Stigler S,Kunreuther H,et al. Catastrophe risk models for evaluating disaster risk reduction investments in developing countries.. 2013. |
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