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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01928.x
Catastrophe risk models for evaluating disaster risk reduction investments in developing countries.
Michel-Kerjan E; Hochrainer-Stigler S; Kunreuther H; Linnerooth-Bayer J; Mechler R; Muir-Wood R; Ranger N; Vaziri P
发表日期2013
出处Risk Analysis 33 (6): 984-999
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要Major natural disasters in recent years have had high human and economic costs, and triggered record high post-disaster relief from governments and international donors. Given the current economic situation worldwide, selecting the most effective disaster risk reduction (DRR) measures is critical. This is especially the case for low- and middle-income countries, which have suffered disproportionally more economic and human losses from disasters. This article discusses a methodology that makes use of advanced probabilistic catastrophe models to estimate benefits of DRR measures. We apply such newly developed models to generate estimates for hurricane risk on residential structures on the island of St. Lucia, and earthquake risk on residential structures in Istanbul, Turkey, as two illustrative case studies. The costs and economic benefits for selected risk reduction measures are estimated taking account of hazard, exposure, and vulnerability. We conclude by emphasizing the advantages and challenges of catastrophe model-based cot-benefit analyses for DRR in developing countries.
主题Risk, Policy and Vulnerability (RPV) ; Risk & ; Resilience (RISK)
关键词Catastrophe modeling Cost-benefit analysis Disaster risk reduction
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10413/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129740
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Michel-Kerjan E,Hochrainer-Stigler S,Kunreuther H,et al. Catastrophe risk models for evaluating disaster risk reduction investments in developing countries.. 2013.
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