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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.04.022 |
A hybrid modelling approach to develop scenarios for China's carbon dioxide emissions to 2050. | |
Gambhir A; Schulz NB; Napp T; Tong D; Munuera L; Faist M; Riahi K | |
发表日期 | 2013 |
出处 | Energy Policy 59: 614-632 |
出版年 | 2013 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper describes a hybrid modelling approach to assess the future development of China's energy system, for both a "hypothetical counterfactual baseline" (HCB) scenario and low carbon ("abatement") scenarios. The approach combines a technology-rich integrated assessment model (MESSAGE) of China's energy system with a set of sector-specific, bottom-up, energy demand models for the transport, buildings and industrial sectors developed by the Grantham Institute for Climate Change at Imperial College London. By exploring technology-specific solutions in all major sectors of the Chinese economy, we find that a combination of measures, underpinned by low-carbon power options based on a mix of renewables, nuclear and carbon capture and storage, would fundamentally transform the Chinese energy system, when combined with increasing electrification of demand-side sectors. Energy efficiency options in these demand sectors are also important. |
主题 | Energy (ENE) ; Transitions to New Technologies (TNT) |
关键词 | China CO2 emissions Low-carbon technology |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10416/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129742 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Gambhir A,Schulz NB,Napp T,et al. A hybrid modelling approach to develop scenarios for China's carbon dioxide emissions to 2050.. 2013. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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