| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.esr.2013.02.006 |
| Future nuclear perspectives based on MESSAGE integrated assessment modeling. | |
| Rogner ML; Riahi K | |
| 发表日期 | 2013 |
| 出处 | Energy Strategy Reviews 1 (4): 223-232 |
| 出版年 | 2013 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Nuclear energy has the potential to be a vital component toward a clean energy strategy - but future energy systems may or may not include nuclear power. This study explores a range of future nuclear pathways consistent with different levels of energy demand, and explicitly assesses the implications of a potential global nuclear energy phase-out. In our scenarios the mitigation of climate change is one of the main factors driving a much needed transformation of the global energy system. A range of climate change mitigation scenarios is outlined and compared to a business-as-usual case. The scenarios are characteristic of different approaches to climate mitigation, including alternative combinations of supply and demand-side changes. Our analysis indicates that under a comprehensive and global mitigation effort, the stabilization of GHG concentrations at low levels (450 ppm CO2) would be technically achievable even at high energy demand and with a nuclear phase-out. We identify that significant investments in energy efficiency improvements and demand reduction offer the most flexibility in energy supply options and may or may not include nuclear power. |
| 主题 | Energy (ENE) ; Transitions to New Technologies (TNT) |
| 关键词 | Energy scenarios MESSAGE model Nuclear energy Global energy assessment |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10479/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129793 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rogner ML,Riahi K. Future nuclear perspectives based on MESSAGE integrated assessment modeling.. 2013. |
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