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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.09.011 |
Characterising performance of environmental models. | |
Bennett ND; Croke BFW; Guariso G; Guillaume JHA; Hamilton SH; Jakeman AJ; Marsili-Libelli S; Newham LTH | |
发表日期 | 2013 |
出处 | Environmental Modelling & Software |
出版年 | 2013 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | In order to use environmental models effectively for management and decision-making, it is vital to establish an appropriate level of confidence in their performance. This paper reviews techniques available across various fields for characterising the performance of environmental models with focus on numerical, graphical and qualitative methods. General classes of direct value comparison, coupling real and modelled values, preserving data patterns, indirect metrics based on parameter values, and data transformations are discussed. In practice environmental modelling requires the use and implementation of workflows that combine several methods, tailored to the model purpose ad dependent upon the data and information available. A five-step procedure for performance evaluation of models is suggested, with the key elements including: (i) (re)assessment of the model's aim, scale and scope; (ii) characterisation of the data for calibration and testing; (iii) visual and other analysis to detect under- or non-modelled behaviour and to gain an overview of overall performance; (iv) selection of basic performance criteria; and (v) consideration of more advanced methods to handle problems such as systematic divergence between modelled and observed value |
主题 | Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA) |
关键词 | Model development Model evaluation Model testing Performance indicators Sensitivity analysis |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10544/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129847 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Bennett ND,Croke BFW,Guariso G,et al. Characterising performance of environmental models.. 2013. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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