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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.09.011
Characterising performance of environmental models.
Bennett ND; Croke BFW; Guariso G; Guillaume JHA; Hamilton SH; Jakeman AJ; Marsili-Libelli S; Newham LTH
发表日期2013
出处Environmental Modelling & Software
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要In order to use environmental models effectively for management and decision-making, it is vital to establish an appropriate level of confidence in their performance. This paper reviews techniques available across various fields for characterising the performance of environmental models with focus on numerical, graphical and qualitative methods. General classes of direct value comparison, coupling real and modelled values, preserving data patterns, indirect metrics based on parameter values, and data transformations are discussed. In practice environmental modelling requires the use and implementation of workflows that combine several methods, tailored to the model purpose ad dependent upon the data and information available. A five-step procedure for performance evaluation of models is suggested, with the key elements including: (i) (re)assessment of the model's aim, scale and scope; (ii) characterisation of the data for calibration and testing; (iii) visual and other analysis to detect under- or non-modelled behaviour and to gain an overview of overall performance; (iv) selection of basic performance criteria; and (v) consideration of more advanced methods to handle problems such as systematic divergence between modelled and observed value
主题Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA)
关键词Model development Model evaluation Model testing Performance indicators Sensitivity analysis
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10544/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129847
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Bennett ND,Croke BFW,Guariso G,et al. Characterising performance of environmental models.. 2013.
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