| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.5194/bgd-11-1561-2014 |
| Future climate variability impacts on potential erosion and soil organic carbon in European croplands. | |
| van der Velde M; Balkovič J; Beer C; Khabarov N; Kuhnert M; Obersteiner M; Xiong W | |
| 发表日期 | 2014 |
| 出处 | Biogeosciences 11: 1561-1585 |
| 出版年 | 2014 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We investigate the impact of future climate variability on the potential vulnerability of soils to erosion and the consequences for soil organic carbon (SOC) in European croplands. Soil erosion is an important carbon flux not characterized in Earth System Models. We use a European implementation of EPIC, driven by reference climate data (CNTRL), and climate data with reduced variability (REDVAR). Whether erosion regimes will change across European cropland depends on the spatial conjunction of expected changes in climate variability and physiographic conditions conducive to erosion. We isolated the effect of erosion by performing simulations with and without erosion. Median CNTRL and REDVAR erosion rates equaled 14.4 and 9.1 ton/ha, and 19.1 and 9.7, for 1981-2010 and 2071-2100, respectively. The total amount of carbon lost from European cropland due to erosion was estimated at 769 Tg C for 1981-2010 (from a total storage of 6197 Tg C without erosion) under CNTRL climate. Climate trend impacts reduce the European cropland SOC stock by 578 Tg C without - and by 683 Tg C with - erosion, from 1981 to 2100. Climate variability compounds these impacts and decreases the stock by an estimated 170 Tg C without erosion and by 314 Tg C with erosion, by the end of the century. Future climate variability and erosion will thus compound impacts on SOC stocks arising from gradual change alone. |
| 主题 | Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11001/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129888 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | van der Velde M,Balkovič J,Beer C,et al. Future climate variability impacts on potential erosion and soil organic carbon in European croplands.. 2014. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| bgd-11-1561-2014.pdf（1287KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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