| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1073/pnas.1308044111 |
| Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions. | |
| Havlik P; Herrero M; Schmid E; Rufino MC; Mosnier A; Thornton PK | |
| 发表日期 | 2014 |
| 出处 | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (10): 3709-3714 |
| 出版年 | 2014 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Livestock are responsible for 12% of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Sustainable intensification of livestock production systems might become a key climate mitigation technology. However, livestock production systems vary substantially, making the implementation of climate mitigation policies a formidable challenge. Here, we provide results from an economic model using a detailed and high-resolution representation of livestock production systems. We project that by 2030 autonomous transitions toward more efficient systems would decrease emissions by 736 million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent per year (MtCO2e/y), mainly through avoided emissions from the conversion of 162 Mha of natural land. A moderate mitigation policy targeting emissions from both the agricultural and land-use change sectors with a carbon price of US$10 per tCO2e could lead to an abatement of 3,223 MtCO2e/y. Livestock system transitions would contribute 21% of the total abatement, intra- and interregional relocation of livestock production another 40%, and all other mechanisms would add 39%. A comparable abatement of 3,068 MtCO2e/y could be achieved also with a policy targeting only emissions from land-use change. Stringent climate policies might lead to reductions in food availability of up to 200 kcal per capita per day globally. We find that mitigation policies targeting emissions from land-use change are 5 to 10 times more efficient -- measured in "total abatement calorie cost" -- than policies targeting emissions from livestock only. Thus, fostering transitions toward more productive livestock production systems in combination with climate policies targeting the land-use change appears to be the most efficient lever to deliver desirable climate and food availability outcomes. |
| 主题 | Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) |
| 关键词 | Productivity Food security Marginal abatement cost Deforestation Mathematical programming |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10970/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129892 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Havlik P,Herrero M,Schmid E,et al. Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions.. 2014. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| Climate%20change%20m（933KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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