全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Chinese food security and climate change: Agriculture futures.

G2TT

来源类型	Article
规范类型	其他
DOI	10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2014-1
	Chinese food security and climate change: Agriculture futures.
	Ye L; Tang H; Wu W; Yang P; Nelson GC; Mason-D'Croz D
发表日期	2014
出处	Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal : 2014-1
出版年	2014
语种	英语
摘要	Climate change is now affecting agriculture and food production in every country of the world. Here the authors present the IMPACT model results on yield, production, and net trade of major crops in China, and on daily calorie availability as an overall indicator of food security under climate change scenarios and socio-economic pathways in 2050. The obtained results show a relatively optimistic outlook on yield, production and trade toward 2050. The outcomes of calorie availability suggest that China will be able to maintain a level of at least 3,000 kilocalories per day through 2010 to 2050. Overall, Chinese agriculture is relatively resilient to climate change. It is unlikely that Chinese food security by 2050 will be compromised in the context of climate change. The major challenge to food security, however, will rise from increasing demand coupled with regional disparities in adaptive capacity to climate change.
主题	Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM)
关键词	Climate change Food security Scenario Adaptation Mitigation Policy
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11016/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/129899
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ye L,Tang H,Wu W,et al. Chinese food security and climate change: Agriculture futures.. 2014.

条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小	资源类型	版本类型	开放类型	使用许可
Economics_2014-1.pdf（7478KB）	智库出版物		限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览