全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): The seasonal timing of warming that controls onset of the growing season.

G2TT

来源类型	Article
规范类型	其他
DOI	10.1111/gcb.12420
	The seasonal timing of warming that controls onset of the growing season.
	Clark JS; Melillo J; Mohan J; Salk CF
发表日期	2014
出处	Global Change Biology 20 (4): 1136-1145
出版年	2014
语种	英语
摘要	Forecasting how global warming will affect onset of the growing season is essential for predicting terrestrial productivity, but suffers from conflicting evidence. We show that accurate estimates require ways to connect discrete observations of changing tree status (e.g., pre- vs. post budbreak) with continuous responses to fluctuating temperatures. By coherently synthesizing discrete observations with continuous responses to temperature variation, we accurately quantify how increasing temperature variation accelerates onset of growth. Application to warming experiments at two latitudes demonstrates that maximum responses to warming are concentrated in late winter, weeks ahead of the main budbreak period. Given that warming will not occur uniformly over the year, knowledge of when temperature variation has the most impact can guide prediction. Responses are large and heterogeneous, yet predictable. The approach has immediate application to forecasting effects of warming on growing season length, requiring only information that is readily available from weather stations and generated in climate models.
主题	Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) ; Postdoctoral Scholars (PDS)
关键词	Budbreak Climate change Phenology Warming experiments
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/10984/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130085
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Clark JS,Melillo J,Mohan J,et al. The seasonal timing of warming that controls onset of the growing season.. 2014.