全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Impacts of increased bioenergy demand on global food markets: An AgMIP economic model intercomparison.

G2TT

来源类型	Article
规范类型	其他
DOI	10.1111/agec.12092
	Impacts of increased bioenergy demand on global food markets: An AgMIP economic model intercomparison.
	Lotze-Campen H; von Lampe M; Kyle P; Fujimori S; Havlik P; von Meijl H; Hasegawa T; Popp A
发表日期	2014
出处	Agricultural Economics 45 (1): 103-116
出版年	2014
语种	英语
摘要	Integrated Assessment studies have shown that meeting ambitious greenhouse gas mitigation targets will require substantial amounts of bioenergy as part of the future energy mix. In the course of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP), five global agro-economic models were used to analyze a future scenario with global demand for ligno-cellulosic bioenergy rising to about 100 ExaJoule in 2050. From this exercise a tentative conclusion can be drawn that ambitious climate change mitigation need not drive up global food prices much, if the extra land required for bioenergy production is accessible or if the feedstock, for example, from forests, does not directly compete for agricultural land. Agricultural price effects across models by the year 2050 from high bioenergy demand in an ambitious mitigation scenario appear to be much smaller (+5% average across models) than from direct climate impacts on crop yields in a high-emission scenario (+25% average across models). However, potential future scarcities of water and nutrients, policy-induced restrictions on agricultural land expansion, as well as potential welfare losses have not been specifically looked at in this exercise.
主题	Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM)
关键词	Energy demand Agricultural markets General equilibrium modeling Partial equilibrium modeling Model comparison
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11022/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130117
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lotze-Campen H,von Lampe M,Kyle P,et al. Impacts of increased bioenergy demand on global food markets: An AgMIP economic model intercomparison.. 2014.