| 来源类型 | Article
|
| 规范类型 | 其他
|
| DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.10.078
|
| Vulnerability to terrorist attacks in European electricity decarbonisation scenarios: Comparing renewable electricity imports to gas imports. |
| Lilliestam J
|
| 发表日期 | 2014
|
| 出处 | Energy Policy 66: 234-248
|
| 出版年 | 2014
|
| 语种 | 英语
|
| 摘要 | The decarbonised future European electricity system must remain secure: reliable electricity supply is a prerequisite for the functioning of modern society. Scenarios like Desertec, which partially rely on solar power imports from the Middle East and North Africa, may be attractive for decarbonisation, but raise concerns about terrorists interrupting supply by attacking the long, unprotected transmission lines in the Sahara. In this paper, I develop new methods and assess the European vulnerability to terrorist attacks in the Desertec scenario. I compare this to the vulnerability of today's system and a decarbonisation scenario in which Europe relies on gas imports for electricity generation. I show that the vulnerability of both gas and electricity imports is low, but electricity imports are more vulnerable than gas imports, due to their technical characteristics. Gas outages (and, potentially, resulting blackouts) are the very unlikely consequence even of very high-number attacks against the gas import system, whereas short blackouts are the potential consequence of a few attacks against the import electricity lines. As the impacts of all except extreme attacks are limited, terrorists cannot attack energy infrastructure and cause spectacular, fear-creating outages. Both gas and electricity import infrastructure are thus unattractive and unlikely terrorist targets. |
| 主题 | Risk, Policy and Vulnerability (RPV)
; Risk &
; Resilience (RISK)
|
| 关键词 | Critical infrastructure
Decarbonisation
Terrorism
|
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11031/
|
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
|
| 引用统计 |
|
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
|
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130125
|
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Lilliestam J. Vulnerability to terrorist attacks in European electricity decarbonisation scenarios: Comparing renewable electricity imports to gas imports.. 2014.
|
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
