| 来源类型 | Article
|
| 规范类型 | 其他
|
| DOI | 10.1016/j.rser.2013.10.010
|
| Are we there yet? Improving solar PV economics and power planning in developing countries: The case of Kenya. |
| Ondraczek J
|
| 发表日期 | 2014
|
| 出处 | Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews : 604-615
|
| 出版年 | 2014
|
| 语种 | 英语
|
| 摘要 | Despite the rapid decline in the cost of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems in the past five years, even recent academic research suggests that the cost of generating PV electricity remains too high for PV to make a meaningful contribution to the generation of grid electricity in developing countries. This assessment is reflected in the views of policymakers throughout Africa, who often consider PV as a technology suited only to remote locations and small-scale applications. This paper therefore analyzes whether, in contrast to conventional wisdom, PV is already competitive with other generation technologies. Analytically, the paper is based on a levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) model to calculate the cost of PV electricity in Kenya, which serves as a case study. Based on actual technology costs and Kenya's solar resource, the LCOE from PV is estimated at USD 0.21/kWh for the year 2011, with scenario results ranging from USD 0.17.0.30/kWh. This suggests that the LCOE of grid-connected PV systems may already be below that of the most expensive conventional power plants, i.e. medium-speed diesel generators and gas turbines, which account for a large share of Kenya's current power mix. This finding implies that researchers and policymakers may be mistaken in perceiving solar PV as a costly niche technology, rather than a feasible option for the expansion of power generation in developing countries. |
| 主题 | Risk, Policy and Vulnerability (RPV)
; Risk &
; Resilience (RISK)
|
| 关键词 | Solar photovoltaic electricity
On-grid electricity supply
Levelized cost of electricity
Developing countries
Africa
|
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11042/
|
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
|
| 引用统计 |
|
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
|
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130134
|
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Ondraczek J. Are we there yet? Improving solar PV economics and power planning in developing countries: The case of Kenya.. 2014.
|
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