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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1126/sciadv.1500522
Systemic trade risk of critical resources.
Klimek P; Obersteiner M; Thurner S
发表日期2015
出处Science Advances 1 (10): e1500522
出版年2015
语种英语
摘要In the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, the role of strongly interconnected markets in causing systemic instability has been increasingly acknowledged. Trade networks of commodities are susceptible to cascades of supply shocks that increase systemic trade risks and pose a threat to geopolitical stability. We show that supply risk, scarcity, and price volatility of nonfuel mineral resources are intricately connected with the structre of the worldwide trade networks spanned by these resources. At the global level, we demonstrate that the scarcity of a resource is closely related to the susceptibility of the trade network with respect to cascading shocks. At the regional level, we find that, to some extent, region-specific price volatility and supply risk can be understood by centrality measures that capture systemic trade risk. The resources associated with the highest systemic trade risk indicators are often those that are produced as by-products of major metals. We identify significant strategic shortcomings in the management of systemic trade risk, in particular in the European Union.
主题Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA) ; Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM)
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11340/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130185
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Klimek P,Obersteiner M,Thurner S. Systemic trade risk of critical resources.. 2015.
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