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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1126/sciadv.1500522 |
Systemic trade risk of critical resources. | |
Klimek P; Obersteiner M; Thurner S | |
发表日期 | 2015 |
出处 | Science Advances 1 (10): e1500522 |
出版年 | 2015 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | In the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, the role of strongly interconnected markets in causing systemic instability has been increasingly acknowledged. Trade networks of commodities are susceptible to cascades of supply shocks that increase systemic trade risks and pose a threat to geopolitical stability. We show that supply risk, scarcity, and price volatility of nonfuel mineral resources are intricately connected with the structre of the worldwide trade networks spanned by these resources. At the global level, we demonstrate that the scarcity of a resource is closely related to the susceptibility of the trade network with respect to cascading shocks. At the regional level, we find that, to some extent, region-specific price volatility and supply risk can be understood by centrality measures that capture systemic trade risk. The resources associated with the highest systemic trade risk indicators are often those that are produced as by-products of major metals. We identify significant strategic shortcomings in the management of systemic trade risk, in particular in the European Union. |
主题 | Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA) ; Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11340/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130185 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Klimek P,Obersteiner M,Thurner S. Systemic trade risk of critical resources.. 2015. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
e1500522.full.pdf(501KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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