G2TT
来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1016/j.techfore.2014.02.028
Stranded on a low-carbon planet: Implications of climate policy for the phase-out of coal-based power plants.
Johnson N; Krey V; McCollum DL; Rao S; Riahi K; Rogelj J
发表日期2015
出处Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90 (Part A): 89-102
出版年2015
语种英语
摘要Limiting global warming to 2 degrees C will likely entail the complete phase-out of coal-based electricity generation without carbon capture and storage (CCS). The timing and rate of this phase-out will depend on the stringency of near-term climate policy and will have important implications for the stranding of coal power plant capacity without CCS. The objectives of this paper are to better understand the relationship between near-term climate policy and stranded coal capacity (assuming a long-term goal of limiting warming to 2 degrees C) and to explore strategies for reducing stranded capacity. Our analysis suggests that strengthening near-term climate policy (i.e., lowering the global greenhouse gas emission target in 2030) generally reduces stranded coal capacity and its costs. An effective strategy for reducing stranded capacity is to minimize new construction of coal capacity without CCS, which can be accomplished by reducing electricity demand through energy intensity improvements and/or by keeping existing plants operating through lifetime extensions. Another strategy, providing emission exemptions for pre-existing coal plants (i.e., grandfathering), would eliminate stranded capacity, but also decreases the likelihood of achieving the 2 degrees C target. Finally, the ability of CCS retrofits to significantly reduce stranded capacity depends on how quickly the technology can be deployed.
主题Energy (ENE) ; Transitions to New Technologies (TNT)
关键词Integrated assessment modeling Near-term climate policy Coal-based electricity generation without CCS Premature retirement Stranded capacity CCS retrofit
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11539/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130210
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Johnson N,Krey V,McCollum DL,et al. Stranded on a low-carbon planet: Implications of climate policy for the phase-out of coal-based power plants.. 2015.
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