全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Climate variability and its impacts on water resources in the Upper Indus Basin under IPCC climate change scenarios.

G2TT

来源类型	Article
规范类型	其他
DOI	10.1504/IJGW.2015.071583
	Climate variability and its impacts on water resources in the Upper Indus Basin under IPCC climate change scenarios.
	Khan F; Pilz J; Amjad M; Wiberg D
发表日期	2015
出处	International Journal of Global Warming 8 (1): 46-69
出版年	2015
语种	英语
摘要	The output of a regional climate model (RCM), providing regional climate for impact studies (PRECIS), is used as input data to the hydrological model to produce inflow projections at the Tarbela Reservoir on the Indus River. Maximum temperature, minimum temperature and precipitation are investigated for possible climate change in the region. The hydrological model was calibrated for the 1995-2004 period and validated for the 1990-1994 period with almost 90% efficiencies. The projections of inflow to the Tarbela Reservoir show that there is an overall increase of 59.42% and 34.27% to the Tarbela Reservoir during the period of 2040-2069 under the A2 and the B2 scenarios, respectively. There will be much more water available in the future, with the highest inflow and comparatively more water shortage noted in the 2020s under the A2 scenario. Finally, the impacts of changing climates on the operation of Tarbela Dam are investigated.
主题	Water (WAT)
关键词	climate change hydrological model impacts assessment Indus River inflow scenarios Tarbela Reservoir reservoir management calibration bias correction.
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11390/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130323
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Khan F,Pilz J,Amjad M,et al. Climate variability and its impacts on water resources in the Upper Indus Basin under IPCC climate change scenarios.. 2015.